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Bengals vs Browns Odds, Picks & Predictions

It is an all-Ohio version of Monday Evening Soccer when the Cincinnati Bengals battle the Cleveland Browns, placing loads of vacation orange on the sphere for Halloween Evening.

These AFC North rivals are headed in reverse instructions because the NFL betting season approaches the halfway mark, with Cincinnati profitable 4 of 5 and Cleveland tied for final within the division after a four-game shedding skid.

Regardless of these contrasting outcomes, NFL odds are calling for an in depth one within the Week 8 finale. I break down the purpose unfold and Over/Underneath complete for Monday Evening Soccer and provides my greatest NFL picks and predictions for Bengals at Browns on October 31.

Additionally, try our high MNF prop picks for this sport, and our favourite Joe Burrow prop performs for Monday evening!

Bengals vs Browns greatest odds

Bengals vs Browns picks and predictions

Whereas the Cincinnati Bengals will probably be with out star receiver Ja’Marr Chase for this primetime sport (and perhaps extra), the Cleveland Browns are additionally lacking a key piece to their passing sport in Week 8.

Tight finish David Njoku is out of motion with an ankle harm, taking away a well-liked goal for quarterback Jacoby Brissett. The massive-bodied Njoku was a security blanket for Brissett and sat tied for second in targets amongst this receiving corps with 42, reeling in 34 of these balls (tied for staff excessive) for 418 yards.

That clean house within the playbook means there might be ample targets to go round on Monday evening, and WR Donovan Peoples-Jones appears primed to select them up.

The 6-foot-2 Peoples-Jones has put up some sound numbers in latest weeks, amassing yardage totals of 74, 71, 71 and 50 in October – topping his particular person receiving yards prop in every of these exhibiting.

He is been rather more energetic within the offense, along with his snap counts staying about the identical, however his targets growing. Peoples-Jones has been focused 27 instances over the previous 4 contests, snagging 19 of these throws.

Peoples-Jones’ power and dimension have been very important to the Browns’ average success throwing the soccer, specifically on contested catches and performs over the center with Cleveland’s speeding prowess organising play-action alternatives.

On high of these shorter strikes, DPJ remains to be a menace to interrupt off a giant one and has had longs of 37 yards in every of the previous two video games. A house run like that may just about put his modest yardage prop to mattress on Monday evening.

Books have Peoples-Jones’ receiving complete as little as 40.5, which is identical quantity he blew away final week with 71 yards – with Njoku within the lineup. Peoples-Jones’ yardage totals have solely risen a contact in the course of the previous 4 video games, bouncing from 25.5 to 35.5 to 30.5 to 40.5 yards in that span.

And whereas Cincy is a sturdier cross protection (No. 6 in EPA per dropback) his NFL props complete for Week 8 is sitting as little as 40.5 yards regardless of his uptick in targets and the elevated position with Njoku out.

He was already a go-to choice on late downs and a giant motive why Cleveland ranks out No. 6 in Offensive DVOA on middle-distance third/fourth downs at Soccer Outsiders. Peoples-Jones has 9 third-down receptions for 137 yards and two fourth-down grabs for 59 yards and will probably be counted on to make key catches in opposition to a stout Bengals protection forcing the Eleventh-most third downs for opponents.

As a cherry on high, Peoples-Jones has had stable efforts vs. Cincinnati in his brief professional profession. In his three battles with the Bengals, the previous Michigan Wolverine has eight catches on 10 targets for 180 yards, together with a 60-yard landing bomb in opposition to Cincy in Week 9 final season.

This Week 8 complete varies throughout the business, sitting as little as 40.5 (Over -125) and as excessive as 44.5 yards (Over -120).

My greatest guess: Donovan Peoples-Jones Over 40.5 receiving yards (-125)

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Bengals vs. Browns unfold evaluation

The look-ahead markets weren’t too far off the official Week 8 opening line for this AFC North matchup. The summer time unfold has Cincinnati set as field-goal faves on the highway whereas final week’s lookahead line was as little as Browns +2.5.

The official unfold hit the board at Bengals -3 final Sunday evening and that jumped to -3.5 within the first 48 hours of motion, with early play backing the warmer staff. Nonetheless, when the Bengals introduced a hip harm would maintain star WR Ja’Marr Chase out for at the very least Week 8, this unfold slimmed again to the sphere objective.

Whereas these foes are exhibiting contrasting success, Cleveland hasn’t precisely been blown away in that four-game slide. Exterior of a nasty outing in New England in Week 6, the Browns have misplaced the opposite three video games on this span by a mixed eight factors and 4 of their 5 losses general have been by three factors or much less.

The Bengals are serving highway chalk given the standard of two-way play from this staff. Cincinnati is No. 6 in Crew DVOA at Soccer Outsiders on the season, however I’ll say its 4 wins have come in opposition to less-than-stellar competitors with bottom-tier QB expertise.

The Bengals have overwhelmed Atlanta, New Orleans, Miami, and the New York Jets – a QB checklist that features Marcus Mariota, Andy Dalton, Teddy Bridgewater (Tua Tagovailoa was injured within the 1H), and Joe Flacco. Cleveland QB Jacoby Brissett does not pose a lot of a menace both, particularly down TE David Njoku, given this air assault ranks twenty eighth in success fee over the previous 4 outings (40.1%).

In response to Caesars Sportsbooks, 80% of bets are taking the Bengals to cowl whereas simply 56% of the cash is siding with Cincinnati. Covers Consensus reveals 72% of picks on Cincy, as of Sunday morning.

Bengals vs. Browns Over/Underneath evaluation

The official Week 8 Over/Underneath hit the board at 47 factors, as Cincinnati’s offense has began firing on all cylinders. That quantity ticked as much as 47.5 factors earlier than the Chase harm was introduced. Together with the Njoku harm for the Browns, and Cleveland’s standout DEs Myles Garrett and Jadeveon Clowney anticipated to play, this complete has shrunk to as little as 45 factors.

The Browns’ passing sport is not a lot to jot down residence about, however Cleveland continues to have success working the ball. Cleveland is No. 2 in Run DVOA and boasts an EPA per handoff of +0.110 – by far tops within the NFL coming into Week 8.

The Bengals’ offense has pumped out a ton of factors in latest weeks, amassing scores of 27, 27, 30, and 35 of their final 4 wins. The harm to Chase does take away one among QB Joe Burrow’s greatest targets however Cincy nonetheless has dependable choices in Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd, in addition to TE Hayden Hurst who is predicted to play by a groin harm Monday evening.

Cleveland’s protection sits twenty ninth in factors allowed per sport, which has helped the Over hit in 5 of the primary seven video games of 2022. Cincinnati had performed Underneath in its first 5 video games, however due to the offensive turnaround the previous two outings, the Bengals have gone Over in every of their final two contests.

These Ohio rivals have been on a wild run of Overs earlier than ending beneath the entire in Week 18 final 12 months, posting a 7-0-1 O/U depend within the eight video games previous to that 21-16 rating within the common season finale. In response to WynnBet, 55% of bets are on the Underneath whereas 97% of the cash can be banking on a low-scoring end.

Bengals vs Browns betting development to know

The Bengals have been a stable Underneath guess away from residence since Zac Taylor took over the pinnacle teaching gig in 2019. Cincinnati is 9-21 Over/Underneath (70% Unders) in that span, together with a 1-3 O/U depend on the highway this 12 months. Discover extra NFL betting developments for Bengals vs. Browns.

Bengals vs Browns sport data

Lease: First Power Stadium, Cleveland, OH
Date: Monday, October 31, 2022
Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET
TV: ESPN
Opening odds: Browns +2.5, 46 O/U

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Bengals vs Browns climate

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