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Cam Akers, Demarcus Robinson and extra Week 12 begin recommendations to suit your post-Thanksgiving wants

One of the best week of the 12 months is upon us, associates! Not only one, however two full days of meals, household, and soccer to get pleasure from. I’ve written prior to now about how Thanksgiving soccer can get you into some scorching water along with your fantasy decision-making, so this 12 months I need to share how one can wield its energy like a cold-blooded fantasy murderer. OK, perhaps I went too far with the new/chilly factor there, however this week does provide you with a singular alternative to essentially handle your staff by means of the week.

With three early video games as a substitute of just one, we’ll have much more info heading into Sunday than traditional. You may have a good suggestion the place your matchup is heading with so many key fantasy gamers taking the sphere Thursday. You need to use this info to switch your beginning lineup for Sunday and Monday. On condition that there are not any byes, and it is best to get one other waiver run in between Thursday and Sunday, we would even have some roster flexibility this weekend.

If you end up down massive on Friday morning — perhaps Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs go nuts whereas Dalvin Prepare dinner and Saquon Barkley fall quick in tough matchups — you are going to need to hunt for upside. Begin solely gamers who’ve an opportunity to hit the fantasy lotto. Protected, ground guys haven’t any place on this situation. In a Thanksgiving analogy, put that pumpkin pie away and roll out the mint chocolate ice cream cake for dessert (which my aunt is definitely bringing for my turkey day celebration). It’s going to make or break the meal (or the matchup) however I’ve excessive hopes for that uncommon however refreshing notice to cap off the day of indulgence.

If you’re up massive with a strong win likelihood after Thursday’s video games, it is best to play it secure. Apple pie, mashed potatoes, canned cranberry sauce — it is your time to shine. Go for guys with a excessive ground to maintain your momentum going. Take no pointless dangers.

For those who’re aggressive after the primary three video games, you may need to optimize the combination. Perhaps use your increased ground working backs however extra unstable receivers or vice versa. When you have receivers your opponent’s QB is throwing to, that is a great way to remain even or get forward in a detailed matchup. Stability is essential right here: conventional turkey with gravy, Italian sausage stuffing, however throw in some bacon-roasted Brussels sprouts or an arugula salad with corn, dried cranberries and pepitas with a pesto-buttermilk dressing (sure, I make this for Thanksgiving and it’s scrumptious).

So, listed below are some concepts to shake up your Sunday-Monday rosters and win your week primarily based on whether or not you are in a deep gap, flying excessive, or white-knuckling it into the weekend. All of those gamers have hung out on fantasy benches and in beginning lineups this season; none are famous person must-start guys. One final thought, in the event you’re deciding between two seemingly comparable choices, one enjoying on Thanksgiving and one later, you may sit the Thursday man to provide your self some extra flexibility relying on how the primary spherical of Week 12 goes.

Go massive or go residence

Christian Kirk, JAC, WR — Kirk has run the fantasy gamut this season, however is coming off his finest recreation to date. It was his second 12-target recreation and his second 2-TD recreation, however the first time these issues co-occurred. Is he more likely to repeat that in back-to-back video games? Not essentially, however he is simply proven what he is able to. Baltimore’s protection has run cold and hot, however by means of 11 weeks, they permit the seventh-most fantasy factors to opposing receivers. The Jaguars are at residence, and the Ravens are solely slender favorites. Kirk has the excessive 30-plus fantasy level ceiling we’re in search of when enjoying from behind.

Cam Akers, LAR, RB — I had Akers slotted into this area earlier than the Darrell Henderson lower was introduced, for what it is price. That is what they name blind religion — I’ve not seen proof that Akers can win you your matchup in any skilled soccer recreation he is performed in. He had a pleasant three-game stretch in 2019 when he piled up yardage on heavy quantity and scored a few speeding touchdowns, however primarily based on his draft hype, that was barely scratching the floor. I feel it says so much that the Rams held on to him and lower Henderson after the early season drama. With Matthew Stafford coping with his second concussion in lower than three weeks, this struggling offense can be sensible to revisit the thought of ​​giving Akers 20-plus carries vs. the Chiefs this weekend. Kansas Metropolis offers up the seventh-most fantasy factors to working backs and ranks fourth in total fantasy factors allowed to opponents.

Latavius ​​Murray, DEN, RB — With Melvin Gordon out of the best way, there is not a lot competitors for Murray this weekend. We have seen opposing backs ravage the Panthers in current weeks (Joe Mixon’s 5 touchdowns, a pleasant mixture of Tyler Allgeier and Caleb Huntley going for almost 180 complete yards in Week 8, though Baltimore was stalled for many of Week 11 on all fronts) . Anyway, I’ve by no means been an enormous Murray fan, however he’s sneaky on the purpose, has put up a number of landing video games for a number of groups within the NFL, and will get this juicy RB matchup with the backfield basically to himself. He is additionally an adept pass-catcher for these in PPR leagues.

play it secure

Demarcus Robinson, BAL, WR — I will be trustworthy, I am unsure what occurred to the Ravens in Week 11, however I hope it is out of their system. Perhaps one other week of well being for Mark Andrews will get this offense rolling once more. There are nonetheless quite a lot of questions on the broad receiver place, however Robinson is rising because the Mr. Dependable of the bunch. He is coming off a recreation through which he caught all 9 of the passes thrown his method for 128 yards. Jacksonville’s protection ranks within the High 10 most beneficiant for fantasy in opposition to QB, RB and WR, so the set-up is there for Robinson to place forth one other interesting fantasy day, maybe a 6-90-1 sort of line. Excellent to maintain you comfortably forward of your flailing opponent.

Geno Smith, SEA, QB — Smith ranks seventh amongst fantasy QBs this season, with a mean of 18 fantasy factors per recreation. He nonetheless leads the league in completion share, is second in passer ranking, tied for eighth in speeding makes an attempt, and has thrown solely 4 interceptions. His total full recreation model makes him an especially secure QB play in opposition to the Raiders in Week 12. Las Vegas is the third-best QB matchup for fantasy, giving him the excessive ground we’re after, plus some potential upside.

Terry McLaurin, WR; Antonio Gibson, RB, WAS — McLaurin was disappointing in Week 11, however nonetheless produced nearly 10 PPR fantasy factors, which is healthier than quite a lot of early-round stars did (eg CeeDee Lamb and AJ Brown). Gibson was additionally strong, making a mark in each the run and cross recreation, as traditional. Brian Robinson is just not taking on this backfield, however he is not going away both. That caps Gibson’s ceiling, however the excessive ground is there for each McLaurin and Gibson in a matchup with the Falcons (second-most total fantasy factors allowed).

Stability it out

Michael Pittman, IND, WR — Whereas the preseason’s excessive hopes are just about out the window, there may be nonetheless some on-paper prospects for Pittman to have a real break-out recreation. The Colts are above common in cross makes an attempt per recreation and completions per recreation (seventh within the league). Nevertheless, they’re within the backside half in passing yards per recreation. Matt Ryan does look higher following the Sam Ehlinger experiment, and is coming off his finest recreation of the season. Pittman’s goal share is excessive sufficient (22 %), as is his share of the staff’s air yards (25 %), and his catch price is respectable. It simply hasn’t translated into touchdowns. The truth is, Pittman is likely to be the poster-child for TD regression given the typical amongst WRs is one per 18 targets and he has one per 92 targets. He stays a high-floor, high-ceiling participant with a tilt towards the upside in opposition to the Steelers, who offers up probably the most fantasy factors to broad receivers this season.

Jeff Wilson Jr., MIA, RB — Wilson has rapidly risen to the highest of the Dolphins RB depth chart, surpassing Raheem Mostert’s manufacturing in every of his first two video games with the staff. He is had a speeding and a receiving landing already, and is averaging over six yards per carry. The Dolphins are huge residence favorites over the Texans this weekend, which units up a positive recreation script for Wilson. As well as, no staff is extra beneficiant to opposing working backs than Houston.

Juwan Johnson, NO, TE — Johnson has 4 double-digit fantasy outputs in his previous 5 video games. He is scored in all 4 of these, which does make him a touchdown-dependent TE. Inform me one thing new, you say… nearly all TEs are touchdown-dependent after the High 3. His pink zone utilization does transcend fluky, although. It is obvious that Andy Dalton is in search of him there. The truth is, Johnson is second to Cole Kmet in pink zone fantasy factors with 4 catches on 4 targets for 4 touchdowns prior to now 5 video games. The Saints have a troublesome task touring to San Francisco, one of many least fantasy-friendly matchups on the market, however Johnson is likely to be a sneaky danger/reward choice at tight finish this week.

Comfortable Thanksgiving! I am grateful for you readers and commenters, and want us all luck in a crucial Week 12. Be happy to share your highest-risk Thanksgiving dishes within the feedback beneath.

(High pic: Jessica Rapfogel-USA TODAY Sports activities)


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