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Fantasy Soccer Week 12 lineup choices: Begins, Sits, Sleepers, Busts to know for each recreation this weekend

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Dave is on the transfer this week and spending time with the household so I am right here to take the lead on what I think about the bible for weekly Fantasy Soccer choices. The excellent news for these already lacking Dave’s experience is that yow will discover his performs for the Thanksgiving slate right here. You may additionally get a bonus play for the Titans-Bengals recreation under. In any other case, I am going to do my finest to search out you the suitable sleepers, busts, FLEX performs and extra.

Fantasy Soccer is all concerning the matches. Regardless that you drafted your group with sure hopes and intentions, your weekly lineup choices should not be decided by the order you picked your gamers in. You must examine who your gamers play and be sure to’ve acquired the suitable guys in — and the flawed guys out.

It is too early to be completely certain on which matchups will likely be straightforward and which of them will likely be powerful, however we are able to take some educated guesses based mostly on wholesome personnel, defensive schemes, observe data and key particulars of offenses. The issues we all know might help us decrease the influence of the issues we do not know. This could result in higher choices being made.

We’ll undergo each Thanksgiving day recreation and spotlight the gamers who aren’t apparent begins and sits (since you do not have to be instructed to begin Justin Jefferson). It is best to really feel extra snug beginning or sitting gamers based mostly on the knowledge given, and feeling snug along with your Fantasy lineup earlier than the video games begin is the most effective feeling on this planet.

All traces from Caesars Sportsbook.

Begin Him (Lineup Selections)

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Extra notes:

  • LAST GAME: Wilson totaled a 61% snap share on path to 52% of the group’s makes an attempt. and led the best way in makes an attempt (52%) and route participation (53%).
  • MORE USAGE: Wilson racked up 17 speeding makes an attempt and 5 targets whereas working because the group’s short-yardage again.
  • TEXANS: Houston has allowed at the very least 90 yards or extra to a operating again in every of its previous eight video games. Additionally they allowed eight speeding touchdowns to operating backs of their final 5 video games. They’ve allowed probably the most Fantasy factors to opposing operating backs on the season.

Sneaky Sleeper (Lineup Selections)

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Dave’s Pocket book:

  • LAST WEEK: Noticed a goal share north of 17% for less than the second time this season, wielding eight targets right into a 7-111-0 stat line (his first outing with greater than 55 yards). It is value noting that 94 yards got here on his first and final receptions, each deep targets, which implies 17 yards have been earned over his different 5 grabs.
  • LAST WEEK: Burks was additionally noticeably absent on a variety of the Titans’ red-zone snaps. Of Ryan Tannehill’s 10 dropbacks contained in the 20, Burks performed 4 snaps. He did get a goal and will have scored on the play had Tannehill thrown sooner. Burks additionally drew a double-team within the end-zone within the second half.
  • FILM: Whereas he did not rapidly speed up into prime gear, Burks did present he can outrun the competitors on these two aforementioned targets. Whether or not or not the Titans preserve giving him these deep alternatives from recreation to recreation stays to be seen, however the short-area targets he noticed have been similar to what he did at Arkansas, and that figures to be a staple within the Titans offense. It ought to set Burks up for an eight-point PPR ground transferring ahead.
  • BENGALS: Are among the many league leaders in catch fee allowed to wideouts (59% on the season) and so they do not miss many tackles (5 in 2022). Nevertheless, they’re slipping by way of yards per catch (14.02 this season and 17.32 of their previous three) and touchdowns (half of the six touchdowns have come of their previous three) to WRs. It stems from Cincinnati changing into worse at defending throws of 16-plus Air Yards, particularly in its previous three video games (bottom-five in catch fee, completions of 20-plus yards and total receiving yards allowed).
  • TITANS: Almost 25% of their move makes an attempt of 16-plus yards this season (10 of 42) have come over their previous two video games and so they’ve averaged a league-best 40.8 yards per catch on them. They’re attempting to get higher at these throws, and Burks was the first benefactor final week.

Sneaky Sleeper (Lineup Selections)

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Extra Notes:

  • BOYD: 66% snap fee or higher in each recreation, even when Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins have been each wholesome.
  • TITANS: Third-most Fantasy factors per recreation allowed to WRs in non-PPR.

Sit Him (Lineup Selections)

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Extra notes:

  • RAVENS: Solely two QBs (Tua Tagovailoa, Josh Allen) have 20+ factors vs BAL this yr, and none in final six; just one QB since Week 2 has thrown two TDs vs. BALL.
  • LAWRENCE: Only one recreation in final six with two move TDs, 5:4 TD:INT ratio throughout that stretch after 8:2 TD:INT ratio in first 4 video games.

Begin Him in PPR (Lineup Selections)

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Extra Notes:

  • CARTER: Workforce-best 21% goal share in Mike White’s three video games with at the very least 32 move makes an attempt final 12 months, by Frank Stampfl
  • BEARS: 4.7 ypc to RB this yr, rush TD allowed to RB in all however three video games.
  • CARTER: 16 of 34 targets on the season got here in first three weeks with out Zach Wilson.

Sneaky Sleeper in PPR (Lineup Selections)

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Extra notes:

  • USAGE: Moore performed 69% of the slot snaps for the Jets in Week 11.
  • HISTORY: White’s prime goal at Western Kentucky in 2017 was Nacarius Fant — his slot receiver.
  • MORE HISTORY: Whereas enjoying totally on the skin, Moore racked up a Elijah 12.2% goal share with 9 receptions, 116 yards and a landing enjoying with White in 2021.

Sit Him (Lineup Selections)

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Extra notes:

  • SAMUEL: Set season low in snap fee every of final two weeks with Jahan Dotson again, together with trailing Dotson in snap fee final week, and solely had three targets in these two video games.
  • FALCONS: Second-most Fantasy factors per recreation (non-PPR) allowed to WRs, that means WAS can lean extra on conventional passing recreation over producing touches for Samuel.

Doable Bust (Lineup Selections)

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Extra notes:

  • PANTHERS: Annihilated by Mixon in Week 9, higher vs ATL (22 carries by RBs for 95 yards) & BAL (18 for 80) in Weeks 10-11.
  • MURRAY: Held beneath 3 yards per carry in every of final two video games, simply 3.3 yards per carry with DEN.
  • BRONCOS: Simply 90.4 rush yards per recreation at residence vs. 114.8 on highway.

Sit Him (Lineup Selections)

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Extra notes:

  • MOORE: 17-game tempo of 100 receptions, 1,279 yards, six TDs on 166 targets in Sam Darnold’s first 9 begins final 12 months, by Heath Cummings.
  • BRONCOS: Second-fewest Fantasy factors allowed per recreation to WRs in non-PPR, lower than 180 move yards surrendered in 6 of 10 video games.
  • LAST TWO WEEKS: DEN allowed 4 TDs to WRs after surrendering only one within the first eight weeks.

Doable Bust (Lineup Selections)

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Extra Notes:

  • BRADY: Simply two video games with a number of passing TDs all 12 months regardless of averaging a career-high 42.7 move makes an attempt per recreation.
  • BROWNS: Held 7 of 10 QBs confronted (together with Josh Allen in Week 11) to lower than 20 Fantasy factors.
  • WEATHER: Winds might prime 20 mph and rain doable, which might restrict passing effectiveness.

Begin Him in Non-PPR (Lineup Selections)

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Extra notes:

  • CHARGERS: Los Angeles presents a wonderful matchup for Conner having allowed the third-most Fantasy factors to opposing operating backs and at the very least 10 factors in non-PPR scoring in eight of their final 9 video games
  • USAGE: Regardless of the hyper-negative recreation script in Week 11, Conner completed with a 78% snap fee — good for the fourth-highest amongst all operating backs.

Begin Him (Lineup Selections)

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Extra Notes:

  • PALMER: 10 targets per recreation the final 4 weeks, together with final week with Keenan Allen and Mike Williams again.
  • CARDINALS: 30+ factors allowed in 4 of final 5, with 9 move TDs surrendered throughout that stretch.
  • MIKE WILLIAMS: Simply six snaps final week earlier than reinjuring ankle, placing standing for this recreation unsure.

Begin Him (Lineup Selections)

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Extra Notes:

  • RAIDERS: 20+ factors allowed in eight of 10 video games this 12 months, with Trevor Lawrence and Russell Wilson being the exceptions.
  • SMITH: 76.9% completion fee (finest in NFL), 8.1 yards per try (fifth in NFL) when not pressured; LV has worst sack fee per move try in NFL.
  • RAIDERS: Allowed rush TDs to Kyler Murray, Ryan Tannehill, Russell Wilson and Matt Ryan; solely two groups (Bears, Lions) with extra rush TDs allowed to QBs.

Sit Him (Lineup Selections)

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Extra Notes:

  • SAINTS: New Orleans has allowed 19 or fewer Fantasy factors to opposing quarterbacks in all however three video games this season.
  • ODDS: The 49ers are 9.5-point favorites, which ought to result in a run-heavy recreation script.

Sneaky Sleeper in PPR (Lineup Selections)

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Extra Notes:

  • WILLIAMS: Performed season-high 55% of snaps final week, with Cam Akers at 39% of snaps, and averaged 5.5 yards per contact on seven carries and one reception.
  • DARRELL HENDERSON: Waived this week after enjoying at the very least 50% of snaps in seven of Rams’ first 9 video games.
  • CHIEFS: Have allowed second most receptions to RBs in NFL, averaging 7.1 receptions surrendered per recreation.
  • AKERS: Focused solely six occasions all 12 months, with three coming in Week 2 in opposition to Atlanta.

Begin Him in Non-PPR (Lineup Selections)

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Extra Notes:

  • TARGETS: Smith commanded a 39% goal share in his first recreation with out Goedert within the lineup.
  • MORE VOLUME: Smith has racked up at the very least eight targets in three of his final 4 video games.

Sit Him (Lineup Selections)

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Extra Notes:

  • COLTS: Permitting fewest factors per recreation to WRs in non-PPR leagues, simply two WR TDs allowed in final 5 weeks.
  • JOHNSON: Final landing scored was in Week 16 final 12 months.
  • JOHNSON: Solely 5 targets every of final two weeks, had simply two video games of 5 targets or much less in earlier 17 appearances relationship again to final 12 months.

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